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Bitcoin Policy & Market Intelligence

African Bitcoin Institute

August 3, 2026

Bitcoin Policy & Market Intelligence: June 22nd 2026

Bitcoin Policy Market Intelligence June 2026

Sub-Saharan Africa has surged to become the third-fastest-growing crypto market globally, with $205 billion in on-chain value received from July 2024 to June 2025 — a 52% year-on-year increase. The expansion reflects both retail and institutional activity, with over 8% of transfers under $10,000 — above the global average. Nigeria leads with $92.1B driven by inflation hedging, while South Africa’s mature framework attracts institutional flows.

Crypto now functions as both everyday finance and strategic settlement infrastructure across SSA. This edition tracks 10 key markets and the regulatory, mining, tax, and market infrastructure shifts shaping the continent’s digital asset future.

1. Sub-Saharan Africa

Source: Tekedia - Third-fastest-growing crypto market globally. Retail dominance above global average. Nigeria $92.1B, SA as institutional hub. Implication: dual-use as retail hedge and strategic settlement layer.

2. Malawi: CBDC

eCurrency to facilitate the development of CBDC in Malawi
Date: 15 Jan 2026 | Source: MarketWatch

eCurrency Mint has been selected by the Reserve Bank of Malawi (RBM) after a competitive RFP to develop and experiment with a CBDC. RBM chose eCurrency for its secure, scalable platform based on Digital Symmetric Core Currency Cryptography (DSC³) — designed to protect digital bearer instruments against emerging cyber threats. This marks a key step in Malawi’s exploration of digital financial infrastructure to strengthen monetary framework.

Asset Focus: CBDC design, monetary sovereignty, secure bearer instruments.

3. Ghana: Full Regulatory Transition

President Mahama Signs Law Bringing Crypto Activities Under Regulation
31 Dec 2025 | NewsGhana

President John Dramani Mahama signed Ghana’s Virtual Asset Service Providers (VASP) Bill into law. The legislation legalizes crypto trading and requires all service providers — exchanges, wallet operators, brokers, token issuers — to be licensed under BoG and SEC. It ends regulatory ambiguity and aligns Ghana with continental trends toward structured governance.

Bank of Ghana Launches Crypto Education Initiative - NaVALI
26 Jan 2026 | BitcoinKE

BoG unveiled the National Virtual Asset Literacy Initiative (NaVALI) under Governor Dr. Johnson Pandit Asiama to give everyday Ghanaians jargon-free grounding in virtual assets. The emphasis on “education before enforcement” shows BoG understands laws alone won’t build trust without broad literacy.

Banks Banned from Direct Crypto Trading
03 Feb 2026 | NewsGhana

Under the new framework, commercial banks are prohibited from directly holding or trading cryptocurrencies on their balance sheets to protect financial stability. Banks can participate by providing payment and settlement services to licensed VASPs without crossing into direct market roles.

Ghana deploys blockchain to track gold

Ghana Gold Board (GoldBod) under GoldBod Act 2025 is deploying blockchain track-and-trace by end 2026 to ensure every gram of gold exported can be traced to legitimate mine of origin, curbing illegal mining and smuggling via immutable ledger.

Regulatory Sandbox + Billboard Crackdown

Ghana admitted 6 entities to regulatory sandbox to validate proposed frameworks, while BoG/SEC ordered unauthorized VASP billboard ads pulled down within 48 hours. Ghana is transiting cautiously — stablecoins given special treatment.

4. Tanzania: Legal Precedent

Tanzania High Court Sets Precedent in Yellow Card Case

High Court ruled in Yellow Card Tanzania Ltd v. Nyamwero Michael that crypto transactions, though unregulated, are not prohibited, and contracts built around them remain valid under contract law. The absence of regulation does not equate to illegality. Parties cannot evade liability simply because asset class sits outside formal regulation.

For Bitcoin: Legal consequence attaches even without bespoke framework — property rights enforceable via commercial law.

5. Kenya: VASP Regulations 2026

Worldcoin deletes Kenyans’ biometric data after court order
21 Jan 2026

Kenya confirmed Worldcoin permanently deleted all biometric data after May 5, 2025 High Court ruling found harvesting of iris scans without prior approval violated data protection laws. ODPC oversaw deletion — reaffirmation that privacy cannot be overridden by tech innovation.

Virtual Asset Compensation Fund & Draft VASP Regulations 2026

National Treasury/CBK issued Draft VASP Regulations under VASP Act 2025 — licensing for exchanges, wallets, brokers, payment processors, token issuers with CBK/CMA oversight, AML/CFT, cybersecurity, capital adequacy. Capital tiers: KES 2.5M entry-level; KES 50M for wallets/brokers/custodians; KES 100M for exchanges/payment processors; KES 500M for stablecoin issuers/systemic platforms. Plus proposed Compensation Fund as safety net for investor losses from licensed VASP failures.

Crypto fever: 50 firms eye Kenya entry

Over 50 firms including Binance seek Nairobi HQ driven by NIFC tax incentives (15% for 10 years, then 20%) and regulatory clarity. Kenya ranks top 3 in Africa with strong retail adoption and stablecoin usage.

6. South Africa: Institutional Integration

Binance Pay x Scan To Pay - 650K merchants
05 Feb 2026 | Binance

Binance Pay integrated with Scan To Pay across 650K+ merchants — fuel, pharmacy, bill payments via QR, 100+ cryptos, zero-fee settlement. Ozow also integrated crypto via MoneyBadger. Luno launched blue-chip crypto + tokenized stocks bundle.

Treasury brings crypto under exchange control + SARS CARF

National Treasury proposed bringing crypto under exchange control regime requiring SARB approval for offshore transfers. SARS implemented Crypto-Asset Reporting Framework (CARF) effective 1 March 2026 — CASPs must collect, verify, report user and transaction data, integrated into automatic cross-border exchange of information.

FirstRand adopts JPM Kinexys for 24/7 USD + Eskom Bitcoin mining signal

FirstRand adopted J.P. Morgan’s Kinexys Digital Payments for programmable 24/7 USD treasury. Eskom CEO Dan Marokane signaled exploratory interest in supporting Bitcoin mining and AI data centres to diversify revenue — still speculative given grid instability. SARB Governor Kganyago warned stablecoins could “break apart” and pose stability threats without robust regulation. SA digital ID launch promised for 2026 under MyMzansi roadmap.

7. Ethiopia: Mining Hub

PM Abiy Ahmed seeks Bitcoin mining investment partner
19 Jan 2026 | CryptoRank

Under Digital Ethiopia 2030, state seeks investors via Ethiopian Investment Holdings (EIH) for state-linked mining using cheap hydropower from GERD. Already top 10 globally with ~2.6% of global hash rate, surpassing Kazakhstan and Norway. HarvestPlus partnered with farms in Texas, Ethiopia, Canada to optimize PoW efficiency.

Notice: NBE declared Birr-paired P2P crypto transactions illegal unless authorized, but comprehensive framework under development. EIH also moving to print Birr domestically for sovereignty.

8. Nigeria: Taxation First

Nigeria made $276M taxing digital payments - crypto withdrawals next
26 Jan 2026 | TechCabal

EMTL recast as stamp duty under Nigeria Tax Act 2025 generated ₦392.8B (~$276M) in 11 months. Now extended to crypto withdrawals ≥₦10K — ₦50 stamp duty on naira withdrawals. NTAA 2025 ties $92B crypto market to TIN/NIN reporting — exchanges must collect/report, authorities cross-reference. SEC circular sets minimum capital: ₦1B for DAXs, ₦500M for DAOPs/DACs, ₦300M for brokers. New Virtual Asset Regulatory Council coordinates CBN, NRS, SEC. LIRS empowered to recover via tenants/banks under Power of Substitution.

Implication: Revenue first, rules later — policy gap risks pushing activity informal. Edo court jailed man for $19.4K Bitcoin fraud treating BTC as property capable of theft. Binance seeks settlement over tax evasion charges asserting significant economic presence doctrine.

9. Zimbabwe: Tokenization & Tax

FINSEC licensed for Zimbabwe’s first asset tokenization market under SECZ sandbox — tokenized real-world assets starting with property with escrow custody, fractional ownership. 2025 Finance Act introduces 15% Digital Services Withholding Tax on payments to offshore crypto platforms deducted at source — every on/off ramp taxed and visible.

10. Rwanda: CBDC & VASP Law

Cabinet approved draft law regulating virtual assets — defines as digital representations of value not legal tender unless authorized by NBR. Oversight shared NBR/CMA. NBR launched 12-month e-Franc (e-FRW) pilot after 5-month PoC in 2025 — testing USSD, low-cost mobile, interoperability, privacy-by-design across Kigali, secondary city, rural areas.

Market Behaviour: BVNK Stablecoin Report 2026

Nigeria and South Africa dominate Africa’s stablecoin economy — Nigeria largest globally among emerging markets with USDT/USDC majority for inflation hedging, dollar access, cross-border payments as parallel liquidity system to naira. South Africa more institutional — treasury ops, fintech settlement. Collectively core stablecoin hubs.